Ahmed Rashid is a journalist and the author of “Taliban” and “Descent into Chaos.”
LAHORE, Pakistan
IN their shock after Sept. 11, 2001, Americans frequently asked, “Why do
they hate us so much?” It wasn’t clear just who “they” were — Muslims,
Arabs or simply anyone who was not American. The easy answer that many
Americans found comforting was equally vague: that “they” were jealous
of America’s wealth, opportunities, democracy and what have you.
But in this part of the world — in Pakistan, where I live, and in
Afghanistan next door, from which the Sept. 11 attacks were directed —
those who detested America were much more identifiable, and so were
their reasons. They were a small group of Islamic extremists who
supported Al Qaeda; a larger group of students studying at madrasas,
which had expanded rapidly since the 1980s; and young militants who had
been empowered by years of support from Pakistan’s military intelligence
services to fight against India in Kashmir. They were a tiny minority
of Pakistan’s 150 million people at the time. In their eyes, America was
an imperial, oppressive, heathen power just like the Soviet Union,
which they had defeated in Afghanistan.
Now, with the United States about to enter the 11th year of the longest
war it has ever fought, far more of my neighbors in Pakistan have joined
the list of America’s detractors. The wave of anti-Americanism is
rising in both Afghanistan and Pakistan, even among many who once
admired the United States, and the short reason for that is plain: the
common resentment is that American plans to bring peace and development
to Afghanistan have failed, the killing is still going on, and to excuse
their failures Americans have now expanded the war into Pakistan,
evoking what they did in the 1960s when the Vietnam war moved into Laos
and Cambodia. Moreover, while Pakistanis die for an American war,
Washington has given favored deals to Pakistan’s archenemy, India. So
goes the argument.
The more belligerent detractors of America will tell you that Americans
are imperialists who hate Islam, and that Americans’ so-called
civilizing instincts have nothing to do with democracy or human rights. A
more politically attuned attitude is that the detractor doesn’t hate
Americans, just the policies that American leaders pursue.
But both groups feel trapped: Afghanistan is still caught up in war, and
my country is on the brink of meltdown. And so now there is something
beyond just disliking America. We have begun to ask the question of 9/11
in reverse: why do Americans hate us so much ?
Ten years is a long time to be at war, and to be faced with a daily
threat of terrorist attacks. It is a long time spent in an unequal
alliance in which the battle gets only more arduous and divisive,
especially for the weaker partner on whose soil the battle is playing
out. Under such long strain, resentments about intrusions,
miscalculations and feckless performance make a leap to an assumption:
that Americans must hate Pakistanis because they would otherwise never
treat them so carelessly, speak so badly of them, or distrust them so
much.
Americans should not be particularly surprised by this. War diminishes
everyone and all states, even the victors, and that is especially true
if the war is characterized by broken promises and dashed hopes,
perceptions of betrayal, and disappointment in an ally. For the people
living in this theater of war, the litany of such disappointments is
long.
PERHAPS the greatest promise made after Sept. 11 by President George W.
Bush and the British prime minister, Tony Blair, was that the West would
no longer tolerate failed and failing states or extremism. Today there
are more failed states than ever; Al Qaeda’s message has spread to
Europe, Africa and the American mainland; and every religion and culture
is producing its own extremists, whether in sympathy with Islamism or
in reaction to it (witness the recent massacre in Norway).
Famine, hunger, poverty and economic failure have increased beyond
measure, at least in this corner of the world, where the Sept. 11 plans
were hatched, while climate change has set off enormous floods and
drought brings untold misery to millions in unexpected places. The
latter is not the fault of Sept. 11, but in the minds of many the
catastrophes we face stem from America’s wars and the diversion of
America’s attention from truly universal problems. In this, America,
too, is a victim of its wars and the global changes it has not
addressed.
Of the two invasions — Iraq and Afghanistan — and the one
state-salvaging operation, in Pakistan, that Americans embarked on in
the past decade, America’s most glaring failure has been its inability
to help rebuild the states and the nations where it has gone to war.
State-building is about setting up institutions and governance that may
not have existed before, as in Afghanistan, or that have been in the
hands of ruthless dictators, as in Iraq. Nation-building is all about
helping countries develop national cohesion, as Iraq still struggles to
do and as Pakistan has failed to do since its creation. That is done not
by blunt force, but by developing the economy, civil society, education
and skills.
Both state- and nation-building were dirty words in the Bush
administration. They are less so in the Obama administration, but they
are also no longer used to describe the Obama strategy in Afghanistan or
Pakistan. Still, the much vaunted counterinsurgency strategy framed by
Gen. David H. Petraeus for defeating Al Qaeda depends enormously on
improving governance, rebuilding institutions like the local army and
police force, and empowering people with a future — in other words,
state- and nation-building.
Yet despite the billions of dollars spent on this strategy, America’s
social agenda has been pared down and the overall policy left in the
hands of the United States military and the C.I.A., for which
counterinsurgency is essentially a military tool. In Afghanistan, night
raids and targeted killings by American Special Operations forces and
drone attacks by the C.I.A. have replaced the B-52 bombers of post-Sept.
11 as the favored tools to deplete the Taliban. The targeting is more
precise, but the cost in civilian deaths is still too high for the local
population to bear.
Afghans now demonstrate in the streets every time a civilian is killed.
In Pakistan, drone attacks have infuriated the entire population because
nobody can quantify how successful they are in eliminating Al Qaeda or
the Taliban. John O. Brennan, President Obama’s counterterrorism
adviser, said in June that for a year “there hasn’t been a single
collateral death” as a result of drone attacks. So the C.I.A. may claim
that the drones have killed 600 militants and not a single civilian, but
what Afghan or Pakistani can possibly believe that? Pakistan has asked
for all drone strikes to cease, and the Afghans have asked for an end to
night raids. But so far the Americans have not obliged. And
anti-Americanism flourishes.
The United States invaded both Afghanistan and Iraq without even a plan
as to how it would govern these countries. In both countries, policy was
made on the hoof, and much of it was initially implemented in secret — a
sure way to forsake civilian empowerment. The former Afghan warlords,
whom the Taliban got rid of in the 1990s, were re-employed by the C.I.A.
They underwent metamorphoses, like caterpillars to butterflies, from
warlords into businessmen, drug dealers, transport contractors, property
magnates. But underneath the new Armani suit was the same warlord hated
by the people. So Afghans blame the Americans for reviving their
dormant tormentors.
Corruption is rampant, but not just because the rulers are
kleptomaniacs. The United States must share a major part of the blame in
giving huge contracts to the wrong people, forsaking accountability and
transparency, and enriching only a few rather than building an economy.
All of these failings — warlords, corruption, civilian casualties —
have helped breed the new and vicious strain of anti-Americanism.
Meanwhile, American aid and economic development in Pakistan and
Afghanistan have aimed at “quick impact projects,” which are intended to
win hearts and minds, but which, like instant oatmeal, dissolve
quickly. The real business of helping these states build an indigenous
economy and creating jobs to replace opium growing and smuggling in the
rural lands, where government authority is weakest, was left to chance.
Yes, the American military became an employer, but Afghanistan is about
to enter an acute economic downturn when 100,000 American troops leave
and tens of thousands of Afghans who work for them become jobless.
A recent Congressional report says the United States has wasted at least
$31 billion in the awarding of contracts in Iraq and Afghanistan. And
in Pakistan, people see no lasting economic benefit from the $20 billion
Washington has spent there since 2001. It has bought a lot of military
equipment, but no dam or university or electric power plant.
The Pakistani military benefited from those purchases, but it thought it
was never consulted sufficiently by the United States and was not
considered a true ally. Acting on those assumptions, it created its own
safeguards by backing both President Bush and the resurgent Taliban
insurgency, and it continued in that vein after President Obama took
over. Throughout the war, it has feared that the United States was
treating India as the real ally, so it maintained the extremists it had
trained in the 1990s to fight its larger neighbor. But nothing stands
still, and the military lost control as the extremists morphed into the
Pakistani Taliban and began focusing on the state itself.
Pakistan, which is now the fourth largest nuclear armed state in the
world, has been gravely destabilized by its involvement in wars in
Afghanistan. This, at least, did not begin 10 years ago. It has spanned
three decades. The 1980s war against the Soviet Union was fueled by
C.I.A. operatives, Saudi money and Pakistan’s Inter-Services
Intelligence. Kalashnikovs, drugs, madrasas and sectarian divisions
proliferated then, while Pakistan was ruled by an American-backed
military dictatorship. Since Sept. 11, Pakistan has again been
destabilized by the insurgency in Afghanistan, and for most of that time
it was again being ruled by an American-backed military dictatorship.
There is a flip side to this coin of anti-Americanism, of course. The
leaders of both Afghanistan and Pakistan have found it convenient to
play it for political survival or to explain away their own lapses.
Afghanistan’s president, Hamid Karzai, has become a master at spilling
tears to describe the latest American perfidy, while failing to fight
corruption or provide a modicum of good governance. Similarly,
Pakistan’s army and intelligence directorate regularly brief the media
and politicians on the long sequences of American betrayals,
Washington’s love for India and how Pakistan was trapped in this
relationship. These are false narratives — dry tinder for the question
“Why do Americans hate us?” — but they have now seeped into the national
psyche, the media and the political debate, and countering them is not
easy.
That is because the army’s national security objectives, which many
Pakistanis still accept as a matter of national identity, are rooted in
the last century, rather than in what is needed today. They decree that
the army must maintain a permanent state of enmity with India; a
controlling influence in Afghanistan and the deployment of Islamic
extremists or non-state actors as a tool of foreign policy in the
region; and that it must command a lion’s share of the national budget
alongside its control of Pakistan’s nuclear weapons.
AMERICAN attempts to change this course with either carrots or sticks
are rebuffed, while the civilian government cowers in the background,
not wanting to get trampled by the two bull elephants of American and
Pakistani military will. Meanwhile the voices of extremism translate
anti-Americanism into denunciations of Americans’ own treasured ideals:
democracy, liberalism, tolerance and women’s rights. These days, all are
pronounced Western or American concepts, and dismissed.
Pakistanis desperately need a new narrative — one that is honest about
the mistakes their leaders have made and continue to make. But where is
the leadership to tell this story as it should be told? The military
gets away with its antiquated thinking because nobody is offering an
alternative. And without one, nothing will improve for a long time,
because the American and Pakistani governments are in a sense mirror
images of each other. The Americans have allowed their military and
C.I.A. to dominate Washington’s policy-making on Afghanistan and
Pakistan, just as the Pakistani military and ISI dominate decision
making in Islamabad.
Since the death last year of Richard C. Holbrooke, who was devoted to
creating a political strategy to underpin American policy-making, but
whom President Obama seemed to ignore, there has been no American
political strategy for Pakistan or Afghanistan. After 10 years, it
should be clear that the wars in this region cannot be won purely by
military force, nor should policy making be left to the generals. The
questions about who hates whom will become only m