The decision of Standard & Poor’s
to remove the United States from its list of risk-free borrowers—by
shifting the country’s rating from AAA to AA-plus—was a predictable
enough play out of the absurd debt-ceiling debate. The job-killing
agreement reached by the Obama administration and Republican
Congressional leaders reads as if was written with the goal of stalling
out whatever fragile recovery might have been taking place, and that has
effectively been recognized by both the markets and the S&P report,
which explicitly refused to endorse the GOP strategy of addressing debt
and deficit challenges merely with cuts.
Senate majority leader Harry Reid, D-Nevada, noted as much
when he said: “The action by S&P reaffirms the need for a balanced
approach to deficit reduction that combines spending cuts with
revenue-raising measures like closing taxpayer-funded giveaways to
billionaires, oil companies and corporate jet owners.”
California Congressman George Miller Jr., the ranking Democrat on the
House Education and Workforce Committee, was even more pointed—and even
more scathing—in his assessment. “[The Standard and Poor’s] downgrade
should be a wakeup call to Republicans in Congress who have manufactured
this political crisis in order to push their reckless ideological
demands, and the media that have largely bought into their dangerous
rhetoric.”
Reid’s point is well taken, and Miller’s is even more well taken. But
both men give S&P too much credit as an honest—let alone
legitimate—arbiter when it comes to fiscal matters.
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders
came far closer to the mark when he said: “I find it interesting to see
S&P so vigilant now in downgrading the US credit rating. Where were
they four years ago when they, and other credit rating agencies, helped
cause this horrendous recession by providing AAA ratings to worthless
sub-prime mortgage securities on behalf of Wall Street investment firms?
Where were they last December when Congress and the White House drove
up the national debt by $700 billion by extending Bush’s tax breaks for
the rich?”
S&P is part of the problem, not the solution. It is an unelected
and unaccountable international agency that has made so many mistakes
that Bruce Bittles, chief investment strategist for Robert W. Baird & Co. says:
“The ratings agencies don’t carry the clout today that they did prior
to 2008.They made so many mistakes during that period. I think they lost
a lot of credibility.”
S&P, Moody’s and Fitch—the big three international credit-rating
firms—can hardly be treated as serious analysts after they gave AAA
ratings to the mortgage equivalent of junk bonds. And S&P shed any remaining credibility Friday ,
when the US Treasury Department discovered that the firm’s economic
rationale for the downgrade of the country’s credit rating was based on a
dramatic error—S&P imagined discretionary spending levels that were
$2 trillion higher than those identified by the Congressional Budget
Office.
S&P’s miscalculation suggested a much higher growth rate of the
nation’s debt-to-GDP ratio than is correct. As the Treasury Department
noted: “A judgment flawed by a $2 trillion error speaks for itself.”
But it did not speak to S&P, an entirely unaccountable firm,
which went ahead with the downgrade even though it was based on a bad
analysis.
The real reason for dismissing S&P’s intervention, however, is more fundamental.
The ratings firm has set itself up as an arbiter of American
politics, arguing that it is “pessimistic” about the ability of American
politicians to sort out differences.
“The political brinksmanship of recent months highlights what we see
as America’s governance and policymaking becoming less stable, less
effective, and less predictable than what we previously believed,” the
firm wrote in its announcement. “The statutory debt ceiling and the
threat of default have become political bargaining chips in the debate
over fiscal policy. Despite this year’s wide-ranging debate, in our
view, the differences between political parties have proven to be
extraordinarily difficult to bridge.”
No doubt, recent developments in Washington inspire “pessimism.”
Polls suggest that most Americans are fed up with politicians in both
parties, and of just about every ideology.
But that frustration, that anger, is a good thing. It will,
hopefully, inspire a political revolt against the real manipulators of
the economic and political process—the hedge-fund managers and extremist
billionaires who faked up the Tea Party movement and fund myriad
anti-tax, anti–public education, anti–public services and
anti-regulation “think tanks,” lobbies and “independent” political
groups.
No matter what the election results may be in 2011, 2012 and beyond,
however, they should reflect American sentiment, American ideals and
American priorities—not the narrow political agenda and economic
absolutism of a credit-rating agency. This goes for House Speaker John Boehner ,
who should not have to rely on S&P to make the case that Treasury
Secretary Tim Geithner has reached his “sell-by” date. This also goes
for Democrats like Reid, who should not require any prompting from
S&P to make the moral and practical case for raising taxes on
billionaires who have not paid their fair share.
The founders worried about those who would attempt to use supposedly
neutral fiscal and economic policies to achieve political results, with Jefferson wisely warning of “the selfish spirit of commerce [that] knows no country, and feels no passion or principle but that of gain.”
The notion that a credit rating firm could or should steer the
direction of the American political discourse—and, potentially, should
be unsettling to Democrats and Republicans, independents and third-party
activists, liberal and conservatives, socialists and libertarians and
even centrists.
If S&P can set the parameters of the debate in the United States,
then it is not just downgrading a credit rating. S&P is downgrading
democracy.