冷戰結束後,美國是世界獨強,但是在連年征戰與社會集體投入金錢遊戲之後,美國的國力已不復上個世紀末時的光景。先是富有的歐洲聯合起來,組成 EU 要挑戰美國的國境政經影響力,然後又有中國的崛起。BRIC 或許再加上南非,或者土耳其,這幾個新興市場成了金融海嘯世界經濟成長的動力。中東與北非的茉莉花革命,....這個世界的樣貌正在迅速的改變。
我們所認知的富裕的日本已經經歷了兩個失落的十年,八十年代的經濟泡沫爆破後,日本幾乎喪失了成長的動能。或許在名目上日本仍是最富有的國家,但是在經過在經過購買力平價後,日本的財富已被新加坡、香港、台灣超過,不久也會被高麗超越。請參考這篇經濟學人的報導。
[ Remarks ]
李明博任 Seoul 市長時致函使用漢語的國家,要將該城市正名為首爾,而非漢城。後來他當上總統為什麼沒有要求將 Korea 譯成可利亞或是高麗呢?鑑於此,我將 Korea 稱為高麗。
Asian economic rankings
A game of leapfrog
South Korea may soon be richer than Japan
Apr 28th 2012 | from the print edition
THE Tokyo Sky Tree, a broadcasting and observation tower that will officially open on May 22nd, is 634 metres high (2,080 feet), making it the tallest building in Asia. Is this Japan’s last bid to stay on top? For years, Japan was Asia’s richest and most powerful economy. It was the first Asian economy to industrialise, and the emerging Asian tigers—Hong Kong, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan and later China—merely followed in its tracks. Now, however, Japan is steadily being overtaken.
China’s economy is now bigger than Japan’s, but less noticed is the fact that Asia’s so-called newly industrialised economies (NIEs) are, one by one, becoming richer than Japan. Most economists reckon that the best way to compare living standards is to take GDP per person measured at purchasing-power parity (PPP), which adjusts for differences in the cost of living in each country. On this gauge, Japan was overtaken by Singapore in 1993, by Hong Kong in 1997 and by Taiwan in 2010. But the most humbling re-ranking will be when South Korea becomes richer than Japan. The latest forecasts from the IMF suggest that this could happen within five years (see chart). That would be a remarkable turnabout. In 1980 South Korea’s GDP per person was barely a quarter the level of Japan’s.
Calculated at market exchange rates, Japan’s per-head income is still higher than all the NIEs except Singapore. Yet Japan’s high prices, especially for housing and food, bring down the country’s true standard of living. PPPs are tricky to calculate and economists come up with different numbers, so the IMF’s figures are contentious. Some other yardsticks, such as car-ownership rates, still suggest that Japan has a comfortable lead over South Korea. But the trend is clear: the tigers are outpacing their teacher.
from the print edition | Asia
http://www.economist.com/node/21553498
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