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在討論反飛彈系統之前 我們先看看下面的兩則新聞
1.
http://biz.yahoo.com/prnews/040902/dath017_1.html
Thursday September 2, 10:23 am ET

In the dual engagement test, two PAC-3 Missiles were "ripple-fired" at an incoming Patriot-As-A-Target (PAAT) TBM, a legacy Patriot missile modified to represent a short-range TBM. In a second simultaneous engagement, a single PAC-3 Missile was fired at a low-flying MQM-107D cruise missile target. Preliminary data indicates both the TBM target and cruise missile target were destroyed. All test objectives were met.
九月二日的第一次模擬接戰當中
兩枚PAC-3成功地攔截到一枚模擬短程彈道飛彈的愛國者
第二次模擬接戰裡 PAC-3飛彈射向一枚低飛的巡弋飛彈目標
兩次攔截都成功

2.
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/articles/A18975-2004Sep13.html
Test of Missile Defense System Delayed Again

By Bradley Graham
Washington Post Staff Writer
Tuesday, September 14, 2004; Page A02

The Pentagon's last hope of flight-testing critical new elements of an antimissile system, before activating the system this autumn, appeared to vanish yesterday with the disclosure that the next flight test has been postponed until late this year, well past the November election.
反飛彈系統裡的重要部份測試再度延遲 可能要拖到十一月美國大選之後
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1.
就算模擬成功代表實際成功
來襲之彈道飛彈數與攔截飛彈數至少為1:2
來襲之巡弋飛彈數與攔截飛彈數為1:1

請問 中共如果有610枚真的導彈 台灣買的384枚愛國者PAC3夠用嗎?
人人少喝一杯奶茶 國家就真的安全了嗎?
還是這是國防部撒的漫天大謊?

2.
反飛彈系統裡的重要元件到現在都還沒有測試成功!
請注意 是連"測試"都沒過!
一個產品從test phase到實地上市要多少時間
我想多數人心裡都有數

如果今天你告訴我我們要花6108億
來買一套根本連測試都通不過的系統
說這套系統可以保衛國家安全

那我真要說 你真是天字第一號蠢蛋!!