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第84屆奧斯卡得獎預測和個人選擇 Oscar Winner Predictions & Personal Picks

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最佳影片
將贏：大藝術家；該贏：雨果的冒險；最該贏：分居風暴
Best Picture
Will win: The Artist; should win: Hugo; most deserved to win: A Separation

最佳導演
將贏：米謝哈札納彼席伍 大藝術家；該贏：馬丁史柯西斯 雨果的冒險、泰倫斯馬立克 永生樹；最該贏：阿斯哈法哈帝 分居風暴、泰倫斯馬立克 永生樹
Directing
Will win: Michel Hazanavicius for The Artist; should win: Martin Scorsese for Hugo, Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life; most deserved to win: Asghar Farhadi for A Separation, Terrence Malick for The Tree of Life

最佳男主角
將贏：喬治克隆尼 繼承人生；該贏：蓋瑞歐德曼 諜影行動？；最該贏：萊恩葛斯林 任何他在裡面的東西(伊娃曼德斯除外)、麥克法斯班德和他隆重現身的大(？)老弟威力法斯班德 性愛成癮的男人？
Actor in a Leading Role
Will win: George Clooney in The Descendants; should win: Gary Oldman in Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy?; most deserved to win: Ryan Gosling in anything besides Eva Mendes, Michael Fassbender and his unleashed big(?) little brother Willy Fassbender in Shame?

最佳女主角
將贏：梅莉史翠普 鐵娘子：堅固柔情；該贏：都該？；最該贏：尹靜姬 生命之詩
Actress in a Leading Role
Will win: Meryl Streep in The Iron Lady; should win: all?; most deserved to win: Yun Jeong-Hie in Poetry

最佳男配角
將贏：克里斯多佛柏麥 新手人生；該贏：同上；最該贏：同上
Actor in a Supporting Role
Will win: Christopher Plummer in Beginners; should win: as above; most deserved to win: as above

最佳女配角
將贏：阿克泰薇亞史班瑟 姊妹；該贏：梅麗莎麥卡錫 伴娘我最大；最該贏：莎芮巴亞特 分居風暴
Actress in a Supporting Role
Will win: Octavia Spencer in The Help; should win: Melissa McCarthy in Bridesmaids; most deserved to win: Sareh Bayat in A Separation

最佳外語片
將贏：拉札先生；很可能沒天理地落敗之最最最該贏：分居風暴
Foreign Language Film
Will win: Monsieur Lazhar; should win and most definitely deserved to win but probably is going to lose out outrageously: A Separation

最佳原著劇本
將贏：伍迪艾倫 午夜•巴黎；該贏：阿斯哈法哈帝 分居風暴；最該贏：李滄東 生命之詩、阿斯哈法哈帝 分居風暴
Original Screenplay
Will win: Woody Allen for Midnight in Paris; should win: Asghar Farhadi for A Separation; most deserved to win: Lee Chang-Dong for Poetry, Asghar Farhadi for A Separation

最佳改編劇本
將贏：亞歷山大培恩、納特法克森、吉姆拉許 繼承人生；該贏：薛文、柴利安、索金 魔球、繼承人生？；最該贏：培卓阿莫多瓦、阿古斯汀阿莫多瓦 切膚慾謀
Adapted Screenplay
Will win: Alexander Payne, Nat Faxon & Jim Rash for The Descendants; should win: Chervin, Zaillian & Sorkin for Moneyball, The Descendants?; most deserved to win: Pedro Almodóvar & Agustín Almodóvar for The Skin I Live In

最佳動畫長片
將贏：飆風雷哥；該贏：從缺；最該贏：從缺
Animated Feature
Will win: Rango; should win: none; most deserved to win: none

最佳藝術指導
將贏：雨果的冒險；該贏：雨果？最該贏：諜影行動？
Art Direction
Will win: Hugo; should win: Hugo?; most deserved to win: Tinker Tailor Soldier Spy?

最佳攝影
將、該、最該贏：永生樹
Cinematography
Will, should and most deserved to win: The Tree of Life

最佳服裝設計
將贏：大藝術家；該贏：大藝術家？雨果？；最該贏：尚保羅高提耶 切膚慾謀之舒適貼身護皮衣和勇猛老虎裝
Will win: The Artist; should win: The Artist? Hugo?; most deserved to win: comfy, perfectly-fit & skin-protected suit and fierce tiger outfit in The Skin I Live In by Jean-Paul Gautier

最佳影片剪輯
將贏：大藝術家？該贏：都該？最該贏：落日車神、分居風暴
Film Editing
Will win: The Artist?; should win: all?; most deserved to win: Drive, A Separation

最佳原創配樂
將贏：大藝術家；該贏：大藝術家？最該贏：亞歷山大岱斯普拉被忽略的一卡車作品
Original Score
Will win: The Artist; should win: The Artist?; most deserved to win: a bunch of neglected works by Alexandre Desplat

最佳原創歌曲
將贏：既然只有兩首乾脆並得；該贏：既然只有兩首乾脆暫停本項目；最該得：最佳選用歌曲：“Nightcall” 落日車神、最佳翻唱歌曲：“Immigrant Song” 千禧三部曲I：龍紋身的女孩
Original Song
Will win: tie since only two are nominated; should win: pause the category since only two are nominated; most deserved to win: Best Selected Song: "Nightcall" from Drive; Best Covered Song: "Immigrant Song" from The Girl with the Dragon Tattoo

最佳化妝
將贏：哈利波特：死神的聖物2；該贏：同上；最該贏：強•艾德格之老胡佛妝？瑪姬史密斯凳母之老臉永駐化妝師
Makeup
Will win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2; should win: as above; most deserved to win: the old Hoover makeup in J. Edgar? Dame Maggie Smith's everlasting old makeup artist

最佳混音
將贏：雨果的冒險；該贏：雨果？；最該贏：落日車神、永生樹、波米叔叔的前世今生(請列入考量)
Sound Mixing
Will win: Hugo; should win: Hugo?; most deserved to win: Drive, The Tree of Life, Uncle Boonmee Who Can Recall His Past Lives(FYC)

最佳聲音剪輯
將贏：雨果的冒險；該贏：落日車神；最該贏：落日車神
Sound Editing
Will win: Hugo; should win: Drive; most deserved to win: Drive

最佳視覺效果
將贏：哈利波特：死神的聖物2；該贏：哈利波特：死神的聖物2；最該贏：哈利波特全系列
Visual Effects
Will win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2; should win: Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2; most deserved to win: the Harry Potter franchise

紀錄長片、紀錄短片、實境短片、動畫短片略。
Not inc. Documentary Feature, Documentary Short, Live-Action Short, Animated Short

我要檢舉
#奧斯卡金像獎
台長： 喬治鎊

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我要回應
DENNIS
文章文法怪怪~~喬治想出克漏字填空嗎?
2012-01-29 00:33:42
版主回應
只是參考美國部落格，試試不同風格而已 :P
若想填空也非常歡迎 :)
2012-01-29 19:15:23
hewitt
哈哈~真有趣
的確是美式幽默預測XD
不過SAG搬出來了~滿出乎意料的結果@@
"整體"最佳的姊妹拿到大獎~
可是仍希望梅莉可以摘奧成功!!
2012-01-30 12:44:14
hypnosis
推最佳男主角Ryan gosling&Eva Mendes那句 XDDDD

身為Ryan gosling迷，Drive被奧斯卡大忽視真是太讓人翻白眼了!!!!!
2012-01-30 14:15:13
否 是 (若未登入"個人新聞台帳號"則看不到回覆唷!)
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