揮球往遠岸 Buzz-Kill

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灰熊在西區的戰績 2 勝 4 負，在南西店雖然墊底，但仍比灰狼、勇士、超音速3支開季首勝尚未入帳的窘境好多了。話雖如此，灰熊的確有項數據在 NBA 墊底，就是他們每場高達 19.2 次的團隊失誤。

平均每 2.5 分鐘就要憑白斷送球權給對方乙次，看在教練 Marc Iavaroni 的眼裡，心中應該是五味雜陳的。失誤招領，要負上最大責任的當然是控球後衛，想說太空飛鼠 Damon Stoudamire 近4場出賽儘管場場先發，但都未超過 20 分鐘，不禁懷疑控衛這個位置是否要換人做做看？ 所以我又跟 USA Today 的專欄作家 Brian Styers 問了：

【C.C. Kiske, Taiwan】：
Hi Brian: Are you a ”Moneyball” believer? The book emphasized that a hitter’s ability to control the strike zone (meaning K/BB ratio) is the best indicator of future success. And how about the AST/TO ratio in NBA? Will the PGs with great AST/TO win the position battle? As for Mike Conley(4.67) vs Kyle Lowry (1.13)? And how about Louis Williams(4.2)’ near future?

【Brian Styers】：
Intriguing question, C.C. -- thanks for putting that out there. I’d love to hear people’s thoughts on this. I was living in northern California when Michael Lewis’ Oakland-centric ”Moneyball” book was published, and I felt then as I do now: Baseball’s trends toward numbers-based ”scouting” and Bill Jamesian decisionmaking make fascinating fodder for discussion and debate, and they certainly have had an impact on America’s former pastime. But I don’t think those off-field developments, including the ever-increasing focus on pitch counts to limit the early wear and tear on young hurlers’ arms, has necessarily had a wholly positive impact on the actual game itself. It’s a mixed bag of results, and for good reason. No matter how many Ivy Leaguers are brought in to crunch the numbers and help lead pro-sports front offices across the nation, the games are still played by players and managed by managers and coaches. There will always be some aspect of being a ”ballplayer” that cannot be absolutely quantified. ... That said, I *am* a true believer when it comes to certain statistics and what they reflect -- and assist-to-turnover ratio is one of ’em. Ballhandling, in its broadest definition, is crucial to teams’ success on the hardwood. Fantasy general managers like you are wise to at least examine the numbers that ultimately play into coaches’ allotment of playing time, particularly to young players who are looking for more of it. Though we shouldn’t rush to call it a head-to-head battle, given the roles of other Grizzlies guards including Damon Stoudamire and Juan Carlos Navarro, your comparison and contrast of Mike Conley Jr. and Kyle Lowry is one to monitor in the coming weeks. If there were a far greater sample size for Conley, I -- like you -- would forecast a starting role pronto. But we must be cautious in interpreting too quickly: Conley didn’t even get off the bench during Memphis’ first two games, and he’s only averaged 16 minutes in the three games since. Give him Lowry’s 22 minutes of nightly action against starters and sixth men around the league, and the AST/TO ratio contrast would not be nearly as sharp!

【問答出處：http://transcripts.usatoday.com/Chats/transcript.aspx?c=1557】

以 105-99 擊落火箭後，灰熊本季終於在主場開張了！ 我是沒去看這場比賽的經過，不過從得分盒子的側面了解，灰熊在下半場的防守應是十足地成功。

”You feel the energy when Kyle is out there,” Iavaroni said.

在太空飛鼠先發 15 分鐘零得分後，Lowry 整場奮戰了 32 分鐘，讓灰熊無論在進攻或防受端都很有整體專注度。Lowry 開季首度零失誤、灰熊拿下主場首勝、而且菜鳥控衛 Mike Conley 根本沒上場！ 這對 Lowry 的飯特稀價值，無疑是一個大利多的消息。如果我是 Iavaroni，接下來的日子當然持續會給 Lowry 機會，如果他能讓球隊好看些，儘管需要忍受他可能產出的失誤。

當然，Lowry 的失誤若不敷成本，Conley 將是下一棒人選。在即將到來的2周，老師認為 Lowey 有相當大的機會去證明身價。如果你的飯特稀球隊欠缺一個能罰球、抄截的控衛，Kyle Lowry 可以賭看看，同時他的籃板在同儕也高於平均。

觀察幾支戰績不佳，可能要調整陣容的球隊。不妨試著練習預測變動，免得在 FA 的市場挖掘晚別人一步。像是勇士的 Brandan Wright、超音速的 Delonte West、灰狼的 Corey Brewer、國王的 Beno Udrih 等都要佈在你的雷達區內，再視聯盟的深度進行採集。